The typical advice about what people should do with tax refunds — save for retirement! pay off debt! — ignores how little wiggle room many families have.
Tax refunds averaged $2,895 last year, and were the largest single cash infusion received all year by 40 percent of the checking account holders recently studied by the JPMorgan Chase Institute. Research shows:
Few splurge. Most Americans say they plan to save their refunds or pay down debt, but surveys show significant numbers use the money for daily living. Twenty-one percent of people polled by the National Retail Federation last year who expected a refund planned to use it for everyday expenses. Only 16 percent — the lowest proportion in the 13-year history of the survey — intended to use their refunds for a major purchase or special treat.
Catch up on medical care. The institute’s study of 1.2 million checking account holders found consumers increased health care spending by 60 percent in the week after receiving tax refunds. Most of the spending consisted of payments made in person at health care providers, indicating people were paying for new and presumably delayed treatments, rather than settling existing medical bills, says Fiona Greig, lead researcher for the study.
Bankruptcies tick up, too. Chapter 7 bankruptcy filings, the kind consumers typically file, rise well above the monthly average during March and April, federal statistics indicate. From 2013 through 2016, Chapter 7 filings in March were 26 to 34 percent higher than the monthly average, while April’s filings were 15 to 25 percent higher. Chapter 7 filings typically cost $1,500 or more, an expense that bankruptcy attorneys say many of their clients can’t afford until their refunds arrive.
Far from being a windfall, tax refunds have become a lifeline for millions of Americans grappling with unpredictable incomes and expenses, says John Thompson, chief program officer for the Center for Financial Services Innovation.
The center research found many households earned enough during the year to cover their costs, but erratic incomes and variable bills left them scrambling at times.
“Many people start juggling their bill payments in November,” Thompson says, as heating bills rise and the holidays approach. “It isn’t until tax refund time that they get whole.”
Greig says researchers suspected that financial instability was causing people to put off health care, but the size of the spikes was startling — and worrisome. “Health care problems don’t age well,” Greig says. “If you defer treatment, the total ticket is only going to go up.”
Given those realities, it’s not surprising that people with fragile finances don’t want to be lectured about how they should be spending less and saving more, says Michael Thomas Jr., an accredited financial counselor who advises low- to middle-income clients at the University of Georgia’s Aspire Clinic.
But refund time still represents an opportunity to make changes that could allow them to be in a better financial position next year, Thomas says. Putting $400 into savings, for example, leaves 86 percent of the typical refund available for other uses while providing enough cushion to handle small emergencies.
Simply deciding to save before a tax refund arrives seems to help. The nonprofit Common Cents Lab found in an experiment with the savings app Digit that asking people in advance how much of their refunds they wanted to put aside increased savings rates by 51 percent.
Incentives and empathy are far more likely to change people’s behavior than condescending advice that fails to acknowledge their difficult situations, Thomas says.
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